Department: UCLA Anderson School of Management
Keywords: Economics, China, Economic Theory, Econometrics, Mexico, Argentina
Ed Leamer is director of the UCLA Anderson Forecast, which provides quarterly economic projections for the nation and the state of California. In its December 2000 release, the UCLA Anderson Forecast (http://www.uclaforecast.com/) was the first of the blue chip forecasters to accurately predict a recession in 2001. Dr. Leamer holds the Chauncey J. Medberry Chair in Management at UCLA Anderson, along with joint academic appointments in the departments of statistics and economics, where he served as chair from 1983 to 1987.
Dr. Leamer's research interests cover a broad set of topics in the analysis of non-experimental data and the economics of globalization. Among his recent areas of interests are an episodic analysis of the United States business cycle, the impact of the Internet on economic geography, the effect of globalization on the U.S. economy and the potential impact of the FTAA on inequality in Latin America. He has written research papers on the North American Free Trade Agreement, the dismantling of the Swedish welfare state, the economic integration of Eastern Europe with Western Europe and Taiwan with Mainland China.
On the faculty of Harvard until he joined UCLA's Economics department in 1975, Dr. Leamer came to UCLA Anderson in 1990. He has published more than 100 articles and four books. His research has been supported by continuous grants from the National Science Foundation, the Sloan Foundation and the Russell Sage Foundation.
Dr. Leamer’s research papers in econometrics have been collected in Sturdy Econometrics and published in the Edward Elgar Series of Economists of the 20th Century. His research in international economics and econometric methodology has been discussed in a chapter written by Herman Leonard and Keith Maskus in New Horizons in Economic Thought: Appraisals of Leading Economists.
Dr. Leamer is a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research, a fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences and the Econometric Society, and a frequent visiting scholar at the International Monetary Fund and the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. He served on Governor Pete Wilson's Council of Economic Advisors from 1995 to 1998 and more recently, he advised California gubernatorial candidate Arnold Schwarzenegger.
Ph.D. Economics, 1970; M.A. Mathematics (Statistics), University of Michigan
B.A. Mathematics, 1966, Princeton University
U.S. economy, global economies, capital markets, consumer price index, monetary policy, real estate, emerging markets, employment, interest rates, Federal Reserve, economic forecasting, IMF, inflation, exchange rates, Asia-Pacific, Europe, China, Mexico, NAFTA, poverty
Leamer, E., "Effort, Wages and the International Division of Labor," Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 107, Number 6, Part 1, December 1999, 1127-1163; reprinted in Singer, Hans et.al. New World Order Series, Vol. 20, 2001.
Leamer, E. and Storper, M., “The Economic Geography of Internet Age,” Journal of International Business Studies, 32,4 (Fourth Quarter 2001): 641-655.
A Flat World, A Level Playing Field, A Small World After All, or None of the Above? A Review of Thomas L. Friedman's The World is Flat